Trump's ultimatum and the limits of US leverage over Ukraine

2025-11-22 — anderspuck — original

Donald Trump has given Ukraine a Thanksgiving deadline to accept a 28-point peace plan negotiated with Russia. In this video, I discuss Trump's leverage over Ukraine, and why Zelensky has little choice but to reject the plan, even if it risks losing the United States as a strategic partner.

0:00 Trump's Thanksgiving ultimatum
0:40 How much leverage does the U.S. really have?
5:51 A good plan for Russia
8:51 Why the plan is a disaster for Ukraine
10:28 Zelensky's response and political reality
11:57 Europe's diplomacy has failed

Lawrence Freedman's peace plan rundown: https://samf.substack.com/p/the-witkoff-dmitriev-peace-plan-annotated

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